The article below gives our models’ predictions for Week 9 matchups of the 2017 NFL season.
Continue reading NFL Predictions – Week 9
Wait, why does PML favor the Astros?
After four games, this World Series is tied at two games apiece and shaping up for an exciting finish! According to our PML model, Houston has a 53% chance of winning it all. This might come as a surprise; the majority of other prediction models, like FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings, give Los Angeles a slight 56% edge—not surprising, given the Dodgers play two of the three games at home. In contrast, PML favors the away team in every game from here on out. Ultimately, the difference between the 44% chance FiveThirtyEight gives the Astros and our 53% is not huge. Whichever you prefer, the Series is a toss-up. But it’s useful to dig into why we’re a bit higher on the Astros, and in the process, get to know our PML model a little better.
Friday Fantasy Preview – Week 8
Here we are, with the Week 8 edition of the Model 284 Friday Fantasy Preview. If you are looking for a blend of numbers and subjectivity to help guide your lineup, then this is the right place for you. Continue reading Friday Fantasy Preview – Week 8
Man vs Model – Week 8
Okay, so not the best showing from me last week. In fact, that was easily my worst performance of the year. 0-5-1 with my best effort a push in the Dolphins-Jets game. I’d say the model got lucky but I’m a more gracious loser than that. Besides, I think the model needed a little confidence boost after I took its’ lunch money and shoved it into a locker during Week 7. So congrats to the model. Good week. Not gonna happen again. Let’s cook.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 8
Hammer The Over Vikes, Wolves, Wild
The guys do their best to balance their Minnesota fandom with the success of the Vikings and the early season struggles of the Timberwolves and Wild. The recap the first week of NBA action and touch in on the World Series. Segments include Over of the Week and Unwritten Rules.
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QB Fantasy Projections – Week 8
Below are our projected fantasy points for starting Quarterbacks in Week 8 of 2017.
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NFL Predictions – Week 8
The article below gives our models’ predictions for Week 8 matchups of the 2017 NFL season.
Continue reading NFL Predictions – Week 8
World Series Predictions: PML 2017
Throughout the playoffs, Model 284 is making predictions using our PML model. You can find a brief overview of the model here and a full methodology here.
Continue reading World Series Predictions: PML 2017
Man vs Model – Week 7
What a week that was. Vikings win, Packers are dead, and Fred went 3-0 against the model. Put some serious distance between myself and the machine (read: 4 wins). Gonna be even sweeter when I stuff the model in a locker on back to back weeks. I’ve got the model on the ropes, now it’s time to start hammering away. As my father would always say to the 10-year-old hockey players he was coaching, “You’ve got your skate on their throat, now press.” Let’s cook.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 7
Team Defense Projections Week 7
Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 7 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections Week 7