Category Archives: 2023 Tournament

Game Predictions | March Madness 2023

The table below provides our predictions for all games in the 2023 NCAA Tournament. The table will be updated after each round of the tournament, with new games/predictions added as they become available. A brief description of how to interpret the predictions is provided above the table, and a summary of the historical accuracy of each model is provided at the end of the post. See our related posts on our Full 2023 Tournament Bracket and our Tournament Simulation results.
Continue reading Game Predictions | March Madness 2023

Model 284 Bracket | March Madness 2023

Below is our Model 284 consensus bracket for the 2023 NCAA Tournament. As you will see from our Game-by-Game Predictions and Tournament Simulation results, our bracket does not necessarily advance our model’s predicted winner for every single game. Rather, we use a combination of (1) our model’s individual game predictions, (2) our tournament simulation results, (3) injuries / other factors not captured by our models, and (4) consideration of public picks – to make sure we are differentiating our bracket enough from the most popular choices. For those interested, here is a bracket filled out purely using raw model output. Continue reading Model 284 Bracket | March Madness 2023

Tournament Simulation | March Madness 2023

The article below shows how our models view this year’s tournament field from a simulation perspective. Each table shows the % chance that each team advances to a given round of the tournament (e.g., in the first table, Alabama has an 88.1% chance of advancing to the 2nd round). See related posts for our Full 2023 Tournament Bracket and¬†Game-by-Game Predictions. Continue reading Tournament Simulation | March Madness 2023

Bracket Pool | March Madness 2023

Can you beat the Model??? Enter a bracket into the group “Model 284 Bracket Pool” on ESPN to go head-to-head against The Model’s predictions.

Link to Join the Pool: https://fantasy.espn.com/tournament-challenge-bracket/2023/en/group?redirect=tcmen%3A%2F%2Fx-callback-url%2FshowGroup%3FgroupID%3D5706540&ex_cid=tcmen2023_clipboard&groupID=5706540&inviteuser=e0NERjNGNjA0LUI4Q0EtNDQ0RS04RUNGLUQ5MkIxMDNCNDQyMH0%3D&invitesource=clipboard