Category Archives: 2018 NBA Playoffs

2018 NBA Playoff Game Predictions

The table below contains our game-by-game predictions for the 2018 NBA Playoffs, which we will update daily with predictions for each day’s games. The table includes the Vegas Spread, our predicted spread, Vegas Total, and our predicted total. The Vegas spread and 284 Spread are both shown from the perspective of the home team – meaning negative numbers indicate that the home team is favored. More detail on our how our models work can be found here. Also be sure to check out our predictions for every series as a whole.
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2018 NBA Conference Finals

The probabilities for our second round predictions were generated from four unique statistical models that are built on team and player level data from the regular season. Our prediction for each series comes from computing the average of these four models. Keep in mind that teams who had significant injuries in the regular season may be undervalued by the models. Likewise, teams who have players that played through the regular season but are injured for the playoffs are likely overvalued. For more information on our modeling techniques check out our methodologies page. Continue reading 2018 NBA Conference Finals

2018 NBA Playoffs Second Round

The probabilities for our second round predictions were generated from a combination of models that are built on team and player level data from the regular season. Keep in mind that teams who had significant injuries in the regular season may be undervalued by the models. Likewise, teams who have players that played through the regular season but are injured for the playoffs are likely overvalued. For more information on our modeling techniques check out our methodologies page.

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2018 NBA Playoff Bracket

Below is our projected bracket for the 2018 NBA playoffs. These probabilities were generated from a combination of models that are built on data from the regular season. Keep in mind that teams who had significant injuries in the regular season may be undervalued by the models. Likewise, teams who have players that played through the regular season but are injured for the playoffs are likely overvalued (e.g., the Boston Celtics). Continue reading 2018 NBA Playoff Bracket