2019 NHL Draft Prospects Translated PPG

This Friday, June 21st, 217 NHL prospects will be drafted with the hopes of becoming the next Sidney Crosby, Jamie Benn, or Evgeny Kuznetsov. Teams are faced with the difficult task of projecting young adults to the NHL, with some of those players coming from leagues that don’t even track second assists, and others coming from the highest levels of hockey. Analysts, Scouts, GMs, etc. will scour eliteprospects and hockeydb, checking out how many points a prospect produced in each league, and then try to use their small DB of memory to remember what NHL players also played in that league, and how they performed at the NHL level. Instead of using our 0.1 GB RAM human brains, we will use our 16GB RAM MacBook Pro to reference historical data necessary to translate point production across leagues for 2019 NHL Draft Eligible prospects.

Information on the methodology behind how we developed our Hockey Translation Factors can be found in this article. Note that these factors are not exactly NHL equivalence, as developed by Rob Vollman. Generally, the factors are in-line, but they use a different methodology with the purpose of capturing how players translate from league-to-league outside of the NHL.

For a quick refresher on translating a specific player’s point production after deriving a league’s factors, we simply take the age-adjusted points per game for each league and season, apply the league translation factor calculation, and weight the player’s league and seasons by recency, games played, and league prominence. For example, Jack Hughes played multiple seasons (2018 and 2019) in the United State Development Program and one short season (tournament) in the 2019 World Championships (WC). Hughes’ 2019 season USDP is weighted higher than his 2018 USDP season (recency). For 2019, the WC is one of the highest levels of competition so it gets a bump over the USDP (league prominence), but he only played 6 games in the WC vs 75 games in the USDP (games played). The overall effect would weight the point production for USDP in 2019 higher than his production in the 2019 WC.

The table below contains 569 Draft Eligible prospects for 2019, and their translated Points Per game at Age 23/24 in the NHL. Note that these are mean projections, assuming a roughly league average NHL playing time (at Even Strength, on the Power Play, and on the Penalty Kill) for all prospects. If there is a player missing that you would like to see, please reach out.

PLAYERAGECSS RANKCSS TYPEPOSLEAGUETRANSLATED NHL PPG
Jack Hughes18.11NACWC1.01
Kaapo Kakko18.351EURWLiiga0.91
Cole Caufield18.478NAC/RWUSDP0.82
Alex Turcotte18.324NACUSDP0.69
Trevor Zegras18.256NAC/WUSDP0.68
Matthew Boldy18.219NALWUSDP0.67
Arthur Kaliyev17.997NALWOHL0.58
Alex Newhook18.3913NACBCHL0.56
Vasili Podkolzin17.992EURWKHL0.55
Cam York18.4612NADUSDP0.52
Dylan Cozens18.365NAC/RWWHL0.51
Kirby Dach18.413NACWHL0.51
Bobby Brink17.9519NARWUSDP0.5
Nils Hoglander18.511EULWSHL0.5
Peyton Krebs18.410NALW/CWHL0.49
Ryan Suzuki18.0718NACOHL0.47
Yannick Bruschweiler19.8160EULWNLA0.46
Robert Mastrosimone18.4153NAC/LWUSDP0.45
Shane Pinto18.6128NAFUSHL0.44
Jakob Pelletier18.2927NALWQMJHL0.44
Samuel Fagemo19.2720EULW/RWSHL0.44
Jerry Turkulainen20.75NREURWLiiga0.43
Brayden Tracey18.0721NALWWHL0.43
Pavel Dorofeyev18.6512EULW/RWKHL0.42
Bowen Byram18.022NADWHL0.42
Vladislav Firstov18.0123NALWUSHL0.41
Matias Maccelli18.6851NALWUSHL0.41
Patrick Moynihan18.4173NACUSDP0.41
Sven Leuenberger20.34NREUC/RWNLA0.4
Kirill Slepets20.2117EURWKHL0.4
John Beecher18.2149NACUSDP0.4
Ville Heinola18.34EUDLiiga0.4
Nolan Foote18.5637NALWWHL0.39
Judd Caulfield18.2667NAFUSDP0.39
Samuel Poulin18.3222NALWQMJHL0.39
Owen Lindmark18.193NAFUSDP0.39
Raphael Lavoie18.7420NAC/RWQMJHL0.38
Yves Stoffel18.3129EURWNLB0.38
Domenick Fensore17.7968NADUSDP0.38
Victor Soderstorm18.323EUDSHL0.38
Henri Nikkanen18.1532EUCLiiga0.37
Matthew Brown19.87NRNAFNAHL0.37
Dean Schwenninger18.3NREUCNLB0.37
Jere Innala21.2782EULWLiiga0.37
Adam Beckman18.1234NACWHL0.37
Moritz Seider18.216EUDDEL0.37
Joona Ikonen21.11NREURWLiiga0.37
Ethan Phillips18.1278NAFUSHL0.37
Anttoni Honka18.7122EUDLiiga0.36
Dmitri Voronkov18.7850EUFKHL0.36
Rhett Pitlick18.3798NALWUSHL0.36
Mikhail Abramov18.2463NARW/CQMJHL0.36
Patrik Puistola18.4428EULWLiiga0.36
Yegor Afanasyev18.4116NAFUSHL0.36
Ilya Nikolayev17.999EUCMHL0.36
Alexander Campbell18.3143NACBCHL0.36
Henry Thrun18.2839NADUSDP0.36
Sean Dhooghe20.29NRNRC/RWUSDP0.36
Karl Henriksson18.3723EUCSHL / SuperElit0.36
Marshall Warren18.1761NADUSDP0.35
Kristian Tanus18.8474EUC/WLiiga0.35
Leevi Aaltonen18.4129EULWLiiga0.35
Drew Helleson18.2446NADUSDP0.35
Bryce Brodzinski18.8789NARWUSHL0.35
Nicholas Robertson17.7817NAC/LWOHL0.34
Joseph Garreffa19.87135NARW/LWOHL0.34
Philip Tomasino17.914NACOHL0.34
Austen Keating20.29NRNRCOHL0.34
Alex Beaucage17.9164NARW/LWQMJHL0.34
Case McCarthy18.4577NADUSDP0.34
Blake Murray17.96104NACOHL0.34
Jacob Tortora19.91NRNRLWUSDP0.34
Linus Nyman19.95NRNRLW/RWLiiga0.34
Philip Broberg17.995EUDAllsvenskan0.34
Maxim Cajkovic18.4691NARW/LWQMJHL0.34
Daniil Misyul18.678EUDKHL0.34
Nando Eggenberger19.71127NALW/RWNLA0.34
Thomas Harley17.8411NADOHL0.34
Jackson Jutting18.31180NAFNAHL0.34
Alex Vlasic18.0438NADUSDP0.34
Zachary Jones18.6770NADUSHL0.33
Josh Nodler18.1586NAFUSHL0.33
Michael Gildon18110NALWUSDP0.33
Brendan Budy19.04155NALWUSHL0.33
Ilya Altybarmakyan18.7265EUFMHL0.33
Xavier Simoneau18.09204NACQMJHL0.33
Antti Saarela17.9824EULW/RWLiiga0.33
Nathan Legare18.4454NARWQMJHL0.33
Mikhail Shalagin19.78NRNRFVHL0.33
Simon Holmstrom18.0827EURWSHL / SuperElit0.33
Massimo Rizzo18.0284NAC/LWWHC_170.33
Tuukka Tieksola1831EURWLiiga / Jr. A SM-liiga0.33
Yegor Serdyuk18.05NRNRRWInternational_Jr0.32
John Farinacci18.3535NACUSDP0.32
Dylan Jackson17.79NRNRRWUSHL0.32
Mikko Kokkonen18.4210EUDLiiga0.32
Santeri Haarala19.36NRNRFLiiga0.32
Keighan Gerrie18.21129NACNAPHL16U0.32
Kyle Topping19.59NRNACWHL0.32
Michal Teply18.0714EURW/LWCzech0.32
Eli Zummack19.25NRNRCWHL0.32
Anthony Romano18.752NARWUSHL0.32
Marcus Kallionkieli18.2547NAFUSHL0.31
Nick Abruzzese20.05122NAFNAHL0.31
Danny Weight18.14NRNAFUSDP0.31
Alexander Peresunko19.37NRNRRW/LWUSPHL_Premier0.31
Grant Silianoff18.4660NAFUSHL0.31
Marc Del Gaizo19.7134NADNCAA0.31
Austen Swankler17.83109NACUSHL0.31
Jonathan Sorenson19.75205NAFNAHL0.3
John Malone18.6982NAFUSHL0.3
Nikita Alexandrov18.7629NACQMJHL0.3
Carl Wassenius19.71NREUC/RWSuperElit0.3
Lukas Wernblom18.9254EUC/LWAllsvenskan0.29
Connor McMichael18.4324NACOHL0.29
Nikola Pasic18.6888EUC/LWSHL0.29
Brannon McManus19.96NRNRC/RWUSDP0.29
Jordan Spence18.3259NADMJAHL0.29
Nino Kinder18.33111EUFDEL0.29
Jeremy McKenna20.17NRNRRWQMJHL0.29
Ethan De Jong19.95NRNRFNCAA0.29
Nathan Dunkley19.13NRNACOHL0.29
Dmitri Sheshin18.06NRNRLWMHL0.29
Joonas Oden19.34NRNRLWLiiga0.29
Ethan Leyh18.04167NAFBCHL0.29
Raphael Harvey-Pinard20.46NRNRLWQMJHL0.29
Lynden Breen18.06183NACUSHL0.29
Ty Jackson17.79NRNRCUSHL0.28
Alexei Protas18.4544NACWHL0.28
Luka Burzan19.45126NACWHL0.28
Lev Komissarov19.3748EUFVHL0.28
Lukas Rousek20.1739EULWCzech0.28
Amir Garayev18.45NRNRFMHL0.28
Kyle Olson20.25NRNRRW/CWHL0.28
Hugo Leufvenius20.24161NAC/LWOHL0.28
Michael Mancinelli17.98NRNRCUSHL0.28
Matthew Struthers19.49NRNRCAHL0.28
Valentin Nussbaumer18.7472NAC/WNLA0.27
Albin Grewe18.2513EUC/RWSHL0.27
Luke Toporowski18.19100NALWWHL0.27
Vojtech Strondala18.5195EUCCzech0.27
Greg Meireles20.47NRNRC/RWOHL0.27
Radek Muzik18.24100EURW/LWSuperElit0.27
Rickard Hugg20.42162NAC/LWSHL0.27
Premysl Svoboda18.5642EUFCzech0.27
Yaroslav Alexeyev20.43NRNRLWMHL0.27
Robert Griffin18.45NRNACMHSLU160.27
Matej Blumel19.06NRNRLWUSHL0.27
Danil Antropov18.5NRNARWOHL0.27
Harrison Blaisdell18.2680NACBCHL0.26
Jamieson Rees18.3230NACOHL0.26
Vladimir Alistrov18.35118NALWWHL0.26
Arseni Gritsyuk18.2749EULWMHL0.26
Oleg Zaitsev18.4566NACWHL0.26
Oliver Okuliar19.08NRNALWSlovakia0.26
Graeme Clarke18.1645NARWOHL0.26
Bobby Trivigno20.42NRNRFNCAA0.26
Quinn Olson18.12105NAFAJHL0.26
Matias Mantykivi18122EUFLiiga0.26
Alex Steeves19.53NRNRFNCAA0.25
Ethan Keppen18.2574NALWOHL0.25
Nikita Rtishchev19.08NRNRRWKHL0.25
Keaton Mastrodonato18.74NRNRCBCHL0.25
Tobias Bjornfot18.217EUDSHL0.25
Cole Mackay18.0299NARWOHL0.25
Jami Krannila18.72143NAFUSHL0.25
Marcel Barinka18.25NRNACQMJHL0.25
Nate Warner17.8176NAFUMHSEHL0.25
Dillon Hamaliuk18.64NRNALWWHL0.25
Alexander Gordin17.8962EUFMHL0.25
Brett Leason20.1525NARWWHL0.25
Samuli Vainionpaa19.71124EUF/DLiiga0.25
Matthew Steinburg18.7133NAC/RWUSHL0.25
Adam Liska19.69NRNRLWKHL0.24
Wyatt Bongiovanni19.91NRNRCNCAA0.24
Brett Kemp19.25171NACWHL0.24
Zachary Okabe18.46201NARWAJHL0.24
Jack Jensen18.81195NALWNAHL0.24
Alex Young18.25NRNRCAJHL0.24
Maxim Shabanov18.7NRNRFMHL0.24
Yegor Spiridonov18.4118EUC/LWMHL0.24
Mika Cyr19.94NRNRC/LWMJAHL0.24
Wilson Johansson18.6966EURWSHL0.24
Ryan McGregor20.39NRNRC/LWOHL0.24
Nicolas Guay20.01NRNRRWQMJHL0.24
Keijo Weibel18.56NREULW/RWNLA0.24
Aku Raity17.9667NARWInternational_Jr0.23
Filip Cederqvist18.83119EULW/RWSHL0.23
Kyle Bettens17.96191NARWMJHL0.23
Arvid Costmar17.9685EUCInternational_Jr0.23
Nicolas Ferenyi18.71NREULW/CWJC_180.23
Adam Najman18.4544EUCCzech0.23
Filip Cenka18.55NREUCSlovakia0.23
Karel Plasek18.943EULW/RWCzech0.23
Martin Lang17.76NRNARW/LWWHL0.23
Sasha Mutala18.1379NARWWHL0.23
Aaron Huglen18.2990NAFUSHL0.23
Krystof Hrabik19.74142NACCzech0.23
Daniel D'Amico18.4217NALWOHL0.23
Henry Rybinski17.99123EULWWHL0.23
Juuso Parssinen18.3833EULWLiiga0.23
Santeri Airola18.98130EUDLiiga / Jr. A SM-liiga0.23
Nikita Nesterenko17.78121NAFAYHL16U0.23
Oscar Bjerselius18.34NRNRCSuperElit0.23
Yegor Sokolov19.04NRNRRWMHL0.23
Taro Jentzsch19.03102NALW/CQMJHL0.23
Yaroslav Likhachyov17.8NRNRRWQMJHL0.22
Eric Ciccolini18.43108NARWOJHL0.22
Adam Edstrom18.6973EUC/WSHL0.22
Mike Koster18.1969NADUSHL0.22
Reece Newkirk18.3381NACWHL0.22
Ondrej Psenicka18.4553EULWCzech U190.22
Zdenek Sedlak19.25127EURW/CMestis0.22
Filip Prikryl18.22198NACQMJHL0.22
Kyen Sopa18.72NRNRRWOHL0.22
Garrett Pinoniemi17.93106NAFUMHSEHL0.22
Zakhar Bardakov18.32NRNRFMHL0.22
Anton Heikkinen18.99NRNRLW/RWSHL0.22
Jayden Struble17.8748NADMHSLU160.22
Cole Coskey20.06NRNRRWOHL0.22
Grigori Gryaznov18.8470EUDMHL0.22
Xavier Parent18.25209NALWQMJHL0.21
Filip Koffer18.22NRNRRWCzech0.21
Eric Uba18.51141NAFOHL0.21
Ty Glover18.72215NACGOJHL0.21
Alexei Tsyplakov18.447EUFVHL0.21
Max Crozier19.1785NADUSHL0.21
Simon Lundmark18.721EUDSHL0.21
Jackson LaCombe18.4536NADT1EMBHL0.21
Andrej Golian18.2961EUDSlovakia0.21
Kevin Wall19.39124NAFBCHL0.21
Lassi Thomson18.7415NADInternational_Jr0.21
Brady Gilmour20.18NRNRCOHL0.21
Felix Bibeau20.23NRNRCQMJHL0.21
D'Artagnan Joly20.21NRNRRWQMJHL0.21
Mikko Petman18.1190EURWLiiga0.21
Maxim Golod18.84190NALWOHL0.21
Aarne Intonen17.93NRNRFInternational_Jr0.21
Brett Budgell18.05156NALWUSHL0.21
Kim Nousiainen18.652EUDInternational_Jr0.21
Daniil Gutik17.8119EULWInternational_Jr0.21
Simon Jellus18.42NRNRC/LWInternational_Jr0.21
Petr Cajka18.53152NAC/WInternational_Jr0.21
Matvei Guskov18.3965EUCInternational_Jr0.21
Ryan Siedem18.32116NADUSDP0.21
Ben McCartney17.89117NALWWHL0.21
Jonas Peterek18.3380EUCInternational_Jr0.21
Wiljami Myllyla18.299NAFInternational_Jr0.21
Liam Hawel20.18NRNRCOHL0.2
Michal Mrazik17.8996EULWInternational_Jr0.2
Lucas Edmonds18.4118EURW/LWAllsvenskan0.2
Parker Ford18.92210NACUSHL0.2
Josh Williams18.29145NARWWHL0.2
Joshua Maniscalco20.34NRNRDUSDP0.2
Max Wahlgren18.1245EUC/WInternational_Jr0.2
Adam Samuelsson19NRNADUSDP0.2
Ethan Browne18.13NRNRCWHL0.2
Mark Kastelic20.28132NACWHL0.2
Zach Gallant20.3NRNRCOHL0.2
Cody Morgan18.38NRNRCOHL0.2
Brett Neumann20.35NRNRCOHL0.2
Vladislav Fyodorov18.9457EUFMHL0.2
Noel Hoefenmayer20.46NRNRDOHL0.2
Felix Carenfelt19.35NRNRLWSuperElit0.2
Tomas Mazura18.74131NAFUSHS_Prep0.2
Logan Barlage18.44188NACWHL0.2
Trevor Janicke18.49119NARWUSDP0.2
Travis Treloar18.11NRNRCUSHL0.2
Kalle Loponen18.2764EUDInternational_Jr0.2
Mattias Norlinder19.1925EUDAllsvenskan0.2
Cole Schwindt18.1696NARWOHL0.2
Maxim Denezhkin18.5341EUCMHL0.2
Linus Pettersson19.19NRNRRW/LWAllsvenskan0.19
Layton Ahac18.3362NADBCHL0.19
Matthew Robertson18.2826NADWHL0.19
Jake Hale18.09NRNRFNAHL0.19
Hugo Gustafsson19.33121EUCAllsvenskan0.19
Jeremy Michel18.14NRNRRWQMJHL0.19
Keean Washkurak17.85149NACOHL0.19
Adrian Valigura18.3134EULW/RWSlovakia0.19
Lukas Macklin1958EURW/LWAllsvenskan0.19
Chad Yetman19.34NRNRFOHL0.19
Alexei Sergeyev19.08NRNRCQMJHL0.19
Albin Sundsvik18.15123EUCSHL0.19
Axel Simic20.4133EUC/RWNLA0.19
Carson Focht19.38NRNRCWHL0.19
Tyler Angle18.72174NACOHL0.19
Tyce Thompson19.9583NACNCAA0.19
Carter Berger19.76157NADBCHL0.19
Chase Sakic18.68NRNRFNAPHL16U0.19
Semyon Chistyakov17.8716EUDInternational_Jr0.19
Ryder Donovan18.7197NACUSHL0.19
Pavel Gogolev19.34140NALWOHL0.19
Janis Jerome Moser19.04101EUDNLA0.19
Brett Davis20.06NRNRRWWHL0.18
Danil Bashkirov18.163EUFMHL0.18
Sam Stange18.17112NARWUSHL0.18
Alexander Yakovenko21.33107NADVHL0.18
Yegor Chinakhov18.3830EURWInternational_Jr0.18
Josh Lopina18.34NRNRFUSHL0.18
Landon Langenbrunner18.69NRNRCNAHL0.18
Vladislav Kolyachonok18.0731NADOHL0.18
Simon Gnyp17.78NRNRDDEL0.18
Takhir Mingachyov17.8968EUCVHL0.18
Cole Moberg18.68136NAD/FWHL0.18
Daniil Tesanov17.8940EUCMHL0.18
Lucas Feuk18.3379EUC/WInternational_Jr0.18
Jakub Rychlovsky17.87104EULWInternational_Jr0.18
Mathieu Bizier18.11165NACQMJHL0.18
Christopher Giroday18.52154NADUSHL0.18
Justin Bergeron18.77153NADQMJHL0.17
David Kope18.7202NARWWHL0.17
Dominik Sojka18.34108EUCInternational_Jr0.17
Kosta Manikis17.85NRNACOJHL0.17
Ben Brinkman18.71115NADNCAA0.17
Antti Tuomisto18.4215EUDInternational_Jr0.17
Brooklyn Kalmikov18.17200NALWQMJHL0.17
Pontus Englund18.93NRNRDSuperElit0.17
Anton Larsson18.12NRNRC/LWInternational_Jr0.17
Pavel Koltygin20.34NRNRCInternational_Jr0.17
Konsta Hirvonen18.64NRNRC/WInternational_Jr0.17
Valeri Orekhov19.93NRNRDKHL0.17
Isac Andersson18NRNRC/LWInternational_Jr0.17
Jacob Grönhagen18.42NRNRCSuperElit0.17
Tyler Young18.12185NARWMHSLU160.17
Yegor Chizhikov17.96NRNRFMHL0.17
Nicholas Porco18.28103NALWOHL0.17
Ryan Johnson17.9133NADUSHL0.17
Andre Lee18.9NRNAC/LWUSHL0.17
Nikita Shashkov20.24NRNRFKHL0.17
Reilly Funk18.49NRNACMJHL0.17
Matthew Verboon19.33NRNRRW/CInternational_Jr0.16
Felix-Antoine Marcotty18.51NRNRRWQMJHL0.16
Cale Zimmerman18.45NRNRCWHL0.16
Maxim Trepanier20.1NRNRLWQMJHL0.16
Linus Nassen19.192EUC/WSHL0.16
Alex Swetlikoff17.96175NAFWHL0.16
Sergei Sapego19.7NRNRDWHL0.16
Gabriel Denis18.62NRNRCQMJHL0.16
Tim Fleischer18.73NRNRCInternational_Jr0.16
Emmett Sproule18.26NRNRCOHL0.16
Quinn Schmiemann17.994NADWHL0.16
Vladislav Mikhailov18.4971EUCKHL0.16
Igor Usmanov18.6776EUDVHL0.16
Joe Carroll18.38101EULWOHL0.16
Martin Beranek18.19113EUFInternational_Jr0.16
Sergei Alkhimov17.97NRNRFInternational_Jr0.16
Jonathan Yantsis20.15187NAFOHL0.16
Andrei Pribylsky18.4969EUDKHL0.16
Peetro Seppala18.84117EUDLiiga0.16
Gianni Fairbrother18.7250NADWHL0.15
Alexander Popovic18.1256EUDInternational_Jr0.15
Tarun Fizer18.31199NARWWHL0.15
Alfred Barklund18.67NRNRDInternational_Jr0.15
Stepan Nikulin18.26NRNRLWMHL0.15
Semyon Astashevsky18.73NRNRFMHL0.15
Elmer Soderblom17.9655EUC/WInternational_Jr0.15
Bradley Chenier20.42NRNRLWOHL0.15
Nikita Mikhailov21.12NRNRCMHL0.15
Danil Zinovyev18.3NRNRFMHL0.15
Scott Walford20.44NRNRDWHL0.15
Billy Moskal19.25NRNACOHL0.15
Artemi Knyazev18.46NRNRDInternational_Jr0.15
Albert Johansson18.4637EUDInternational_Jr0.15
Ronnie Attard20.2676NADUSHL0.15
Jacob Winterton18.45NRNRLWOHL0.15
Billy Constantinou18.2458NADOHL0.15
Kaedan Korczak18.3932NADWHL0.15
Keegan Stevenson18.4795NACOHL0.15
Mason Primeau17.9113NACOHL0.15
Bryce Kindopp20.02170NARWWHL0.14
Joel Wahlgren18.12125EUC/LWInternational_Jr0.14
Rizvan Mansurov18.59NRNRCOJHL0.14
Martin Hugo Has18.3838EUDInternational_Jr0.14
Brayden Guy18.3181NAFOHL0.14
Bailey Peach18.29151NAC/RWQMJHL0.14
Josh Luedtke18.73NRNRFUSHL0.14
Liam Svensson18.38NRNRC/LWJ18Allsvenskan0.14
Jeremy Martin18.35NRNRLWQMJHL0.14
Niklas Norman18.29NRNRFMidget0.14
Dias Guseinov18.06NRNRFMHL0.14
Ilya Safonov18.06NRNRCInternational_Jr0.14
Nathan Staios18.1182NADOHL0.14
Cooper Moore18.3488NADMidget0.14
Simon Mack18.23193NADCCHL0.14
Michael Vukojevic18.0455NADUSHL0.14
Alexander Daryin18.8526EULWMHL0.14
Ilya Loza18.1NRNRFMHL0.14
Eric Hjorth18.45NRNRDSuperElit0.14
Samuel Bolduc18.5342NADQMJHL0.13
Kirill Mukhin17.87NRNRFMHL0.13
Maxim Musorov18.06NRNRFMHL0.13
Benjamin Tardif19.41NRNRLWQMJHL0.13
Leevi Teissala18.46126EUFInternational_Jr0.13
Daniel Jouza17.83107EUFInternational_Jr0.13
Christophe Farmer18.37NRNRRWQMJHL0.13
Adam McCormick18.99NRNADQMJHL0.13
Luke Bast18.58137NADAJHL0.13
David Noël20.2NRNRDQMJHL0.13
Jakob Bondesson19.08NRNRDSHL0.13
Marcus Pedersen18.07NRNRRW/LWInternational_Jr0.13
Liam Keeler18.43NRNRLWWHL0.13
David Aebischer18.73NRNRDInternational_Jr0.13
Mikhail Romayev18.74NRNRFMHL0.13
William Persson18.3NRNRLW/RWInternational_Jr0.13
Måns Krämer18.29NRNRDInternational_Jr0.13
Oscar Lawner18.35NRNRLW/RWInternational_Jr0.13
Christopher Merisier-Ortiz18.42NRNRDQMJHL0.13
Tag Bertuzzi18.34NRNACOHL0.12
Otto Latvala19.94115EUDInternational_Jr0.12
Patriks Zabusovs18NRNRFMHL0.12
Vladimir Bakanin17.77NRNRFMHL0.12
Alexander Kirpichnikov17.92NRNRDMHL0.12
Justin Ducharme19.33NRNRRW/LWQMJHL0.12
Koby Morrisseau18.67NRNRCWHL0.12
Jack York18.76213NADOHL0.12
Ethan Frisch18.64NRNADUSHL0.12
Jarret Tyszka20.27NRNRDWHL0.12
Brady Meyer18.68NRNRCUSHL0.12
Dan Bartos18.32103EUFCzech0.12
Spencer Meier20.19178NADNCAA0.12
Mason Millman17.93125NADOHL0.12
Conner McDonald20.06NRNRDWHL0.12
Lukas Rubin18.47NRNRDInternational_Jr0.12
Kaden Bohlsen18.44196NAFUSHL0.12
Jack Millar18.56111NADUSHL0.11
Iivari Rasanen18.08120EUDInternational_Jr0.11
Jonathan Brinkman17.96128EULWInternational_Jr0.11
Arlo Merritt18.39144NAFUSHL0.11
Yannik Valenti18.74NRNRRWInternational_Jr0.11
Jarrett Baker18.75NRNADQMJHL0.11
Brendan McFadden18.73NRNRFUMHSEHL0.11
Lukas Pilo19.7983EUDAllsvenskan0.11
Alexander Cherny18.22NREUFInternational_Jr0.11
Cullen McLean18.36NRNACOHL0.11
Yegor Suchkov17.86NRNRFMHL0.11
David Karlstrom18.2881EUC/RWInternational_Jr0.11
Braden Doyle17.8240NADUSHL0.11
Cole Muir18.35206NACWHL0.11
Jocktan Chainey19.79NRNRDQMJHL0.11
Connor Horning18.11164NADWHL0.11
Jan Klodner18.4198EUDInternational_Jr0.11
Emil Martinsen Lilleberg18.38132EUDWJC_20D1A0.11
Hunter Skinner18.15120NADUSHL0.11
Samuel Johannesson18.4889EUDSuperElit0.11
Jermaine Loewen21.42NRNRRW/LWWHL0.11
Carl Sjoberg18.05NRNRC/RWSuperElit0.11
Michal Ivan19.59NRNRDSlovakia0.1
Luke Bignell18.63NRNRCOHL0.1
Maxence Guenette18.1557NADQMJHL0.1
Malik Alishlalov18.45163NADMidget0.1
Christian Lindberg18.81102EUDAllsvenskan0.1
Adam Wilsby18.87NRNRDSuperElit0.1
Clay Hanus18.24NRNRDWHL0.1
Deniss Fjodorovs18.67NRNRRWInternational_Jr0.1
Dmitri Zaitsev18.06NRNRFMHL0.1
Nikita Okhotyuk18.5556NADInternational_Jr0.1
Jan Bernovsky18.24106EUFInternational_Jr0.1
Tyler Paquette18.26NRNRRWUSHL0.1
Liam Ross18.11148NADOHL0.1
Nathan Allensen18.13214NADOHL0.1
Aidar Nazmutdinov18.39NRNRFMHL0.1
Dalton Duhart18.42NRNRCOHL0.1
Patrik Prymula17.93105EUFInternational_Jr0.1
John Beaton18.64177NACCCHL0.1
Alexander Chernov18.36NRNRFMHL0.1
Yevgeni Oksentyuk18.31NRNRRW/LWWJC_20D1A0.1
Luke Krys18.73NRNADAYHL16U0.1
Nikita Sedov18.13186NADInternational_Jr0.1
Artyom Zhuk18.9451EUFMHL0.1
Matej Ilencik17.9112EUDInternational_Jr0.1
Dominik Sklenar18.6891EULWInternational_Jr0.09
Yegor Bryzgalov18.46NRNRLWMHL0.09
Albert Lyckasen17.993EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Dmitri Tyuvilin18.4278EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Jan Mlcak17.83116EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Lev Starikov18.76NRNADUSHL0.09
Kirby Proctor18.18197NADUSHL0.09
Anthony Aguanno18.26NRNRDOHL0.09
Mitchell Russell18.29NRNRRW/COHL0.09
Nathan Larose18.74194NADQMJHL0.09
Roman Bychkov18.3634EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Ilya Mironov18.2735EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Ben Meehan18.17139NADMHSLU160.09
Gustav Green18.75NREUCInternational_Jr0.09
Mathieu Boulianne18.24NRNRLWQMJHL0.09
Ondrej Volrab17.88109EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Jake Lee17.94146NADWHL0.09
Santeri Hatakka18.4372EUDInternational_Jr0.09
Samuel Sjolund18.0946EUDSuperElit0.09
Noah Laaouan18.29NRNADQMJHL0.09
David Turecek18.19NREUDInternational_Jr0.08
Jeremie Bucheler19.22114NADUSHL0.08
Mathieu Samson18.57NRNRRWQMJHL0.08
Albin Olofsson17.86NRNRLWInternational_Jr0.08
Cade Webber18.4687NADT1EMBHL0.08
Jacob LeGuerrier18.5892NADOHL0.08
Grayson Ladd18.31NRNADOHL0.08
Andrew Perrott17.82NRNRDOHL0.08
Marek Berka18.4197EUFInternational_Jr0.08
Jackson van de Leest18.02138NADWHL0.08
Atso Lehtinen18.47NRNRDInternational_Jr0.08
Simon Le Coultre19.87NRNRDInternational_Jr0.08
Filiph Astrom18.2119EUC/LWInternational_Jr0.08
Alexander Lundqvist18.3659EUDInternational_Jr0.08
Alex Morozoff18.06NRNAFWHL0.08
Sean Larochelle18.36169NADQMJHL0.07
Mitchell Brown17.99168NADWHL0.07
Jacson Alexander18.38NRNADWHL0.07
Zach Uens18.11130NADOJHL0.07
Michael Vorlicky18.93203NADUSHL0.07
Filip Forsmark18.41NRNRDSuperElit0.07
Cedric Pare20.41NRNRCQMJHL0.07
Jakub Zurek17.7794EUDInternational_Jr0.07
Nicklas Andrews17.96NRNRDNAHL0.07
Alexandre Joncas18.25NRNRDQMJHL0.07
Chase Felgueiras18.6179NADAJHL0.07
Louka Henault18.39216NADOHL0.07
Oliver Turan18.23172NADNAHL0.07
Tyler Spott19.01184NADUSHL0.07
Dilan Savenkov17.87NRNRDInternational0.07
Tomas Bernat17.84110EUFCzechU180.07
Nikolai Burenov18.1175EUDInternational_Jr0.07
Jasper Rannisto18.56208NADInternational_Jr0.06
Max-Antoine Melancon18.26NRNRRWQMJHL0.06
Jacob Gaucher18.28159NACQMJHL0.06
Ivan Rogov18.1486EUDMHL0.06
Merrick Rippon19.15158NADOHL0.06
Mitchell Brewer18.25NRNADOHL0.06
Ludvig Hedstrom18.1936EUDInternational_Jr0.06
Jonas Brondberg18.4NRNRDInternational_Jr0.06
Kieran Brown18.31NRNRFEIHL0.06
Henrik Claesson17.99NRNRDJ18Allsvenskan0.06
Yegor Arbuzov18.41NRNRDInternational_Jr0.06
Lucas Rowe17.85NRNRRWOHL0.05
Emil Malysjev18.14192NADWHL0.05
Matous Cmiel18114EUFInternational_Jr0.05
Miks Tumanovs17.87NRNRDMHL0.05
William Francis18.5975NADUSHL0.05
Alexander Dersch19.23NRNADInternational_Jr0.05
Jaxon Bellamy18.41NRNRDQMJHL0.05
Jiri Suhrada18.15135EUDInternational_Jr0.05
Jacob Paquette20.07NRNRDOHL0.04
Vadim Antipin18.72NREUDMHL0.04
Noah Beck18.24NRNADOJHL0.04
Duncan Penman17.96NRNRDOHL0.04
Yegor Martynov18.2287EUDMHL0.04
Thomas Pelletier17.83NRNADQMJHL0.04
Mason Snell19.01212NADBCHL0.04
Alex Brannstam18.05NRNRDInternational_Jr0.04
Samuel Desgroseilliers18.44NRNRDQMJHL0.04
Mico Luoto18.12131EUDJr.ASM_liiga0.04
Daniel Bukac20.15NRNRDInternational_Jr0.03
Alexei Krivchenkov18.03NRNRFMHL0.03
Navrin Mutter18.27189NACOHL0.03
Alexis Lyonnais18.62NRNRFQMAAA0.03
Christopher Inniss18.41NRNRDQMJHL0.03
Cole Fraser19.83NRNRDOHL0.03
Isak Forsman18.47NRNRDSuperElit0.02
John Ludvig18.88128NADWHL0.02
Tommy Pasanen17.89NRNRDUSHL0.02
Roman Sinitsyn18.5277EUDMHL0.01
Nikita Vashchenko18.2884EUDMHL0.01
Denis Pochivalov18.14NRNRFMHL0
Jacob Golden20.26NRNRDOHL0
Reilly Webb20.13NRNRDOHL0
Cade Alami18.27173NADMidget0
Jack Ring18.51207NAFT1EHLU180

No surprises at the top, with Jack Hughes and Kaapo Kakko leading the way. Interestingly, in addition to the number one overall, the USDP program grabs spots 3-7. This is probably due to a combination of: (1) a good class with high-end talent in Hughes and Caufield, and (2) a weak Major Junior (OHL, WHL, QMJHL) class. Speaking of Major Junior, it was surprising at first to see Arthur Kaliyev ahead of the more highly touted Dylan Czechs and Kirby Dach. However, after further investigation, you realize that Kaliyev outproduced both players while being a good 6 months younger. Czechs and Dach likely rank higher because of a better physique, and, supposedly, more hard-working attitude on-the-ice. A couple other interesting names that project better relative to mock-draft and public scouting rankings are Bobby Brink (USHL), Nils Hoglander (SHL), Robert Mastrosimone (USHL), and Alex Newhook (BCHL). On the flip side, some players that project worse from a translated Points Per Game perspective are Tobias Bjornfot (SHL), Albin Grewe (SuperElit/SHL), and Jameison Rees (OHL).

Anybody that has played hockey knows that points don’t tell the whole story, but there are other ways to measure productivity. We take a crack at capturing additional information outside of point production in our NHL Draft Models that we will release in the ensuing days leading up to the draft. Be sure to stay tuned!