The article below provides our predictions for all 2nd Round games in the 2018 tournament. A brief description of how to interpret the predictions is provided in each section. If you’re interested in further detail on our models, check out these articles:
Continue reading Round 2 Predictions | March Madness 2018
The article below provides our predictions for all 1st Round games in the 2018 tournament. A brief description of how to interpret the predictions is provided in each section. If you’re interested in further detail on our models, check out these articles:
Continue reading Round 1 Predictions | March Madness 2018
The article below discusses how our models view this year’s tournament field, and which teams are most likely to make a deep run. This is done in context of 60,000 simulations1 of this year’s tournament, which were performed using win probability predictions from our models. That simulation ultimately provides probabilities of each team advancing to the Sweet 16, Final Four, etc. Note that play-in game teams are subject to change. Continue reading Bracket Analysis | March Madness 2018
Below is our Model 284 consensus bracket for the 2018 tournament. As you will see from our Round 1 Predictions and tournament simulation results, we do not necessarily pick the model’s predicted winner for every single game, but rather using our predictions weighed against popular public picks and focusing on our numbers for which teams are most likely to make it out of each region / sub-region.
If you want to hear more on what our model’s predictions, we discussed the bracket in detail on this week’s episode of the Model 284 podcast.
Continue reading Model 284 Bracket | March Madness 2018
In this episode of the Model 284 Podcast, Sam Walczak and Marc Richards break down our models’ march madness predictions including win probabilities, spreads, totals, and everything you need to know for filling out your bracket. Additionally, Sam and Marc give their sales pitch on why you should use Model 284 when filling out your bracket which includes insights into how we build our models and what is unique about Model 284 March Madness predictions.
Listen on iTunes here: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/model-284-podcast/id1356851364?mt=2
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The article below provides our predictions for the four 2018 play-in games. A brief description of how to interpret the predictions is provided in each section. If you’re interested in further detail on our models, check out these articles:
Continue reading Play-In Games | March Madness 2018
Can you beat the Model? Enter a March Madness bracket into the group Model 284 for a chance to take on The Model. The winning bracket will receive a $100 Cash Prize and Second Place will receive a Model 284 Quarter Zip! In order to be eligible to win, you must either share this page or the Model 284 Tournament Challenge Group Page via Facebook, Instagram or Twitter! #TrustTheModel
Model 284 Bracket Pool
Imagine you’re the analytics director for the Cleveland Cavaliers. After the Cavs added a bunch of new players at the trade deadline, coach Tyronn Lue might come to you for advice on how best to fit them into lineups. Luckily, your team of analysts has already designed a Lineup Evaluator Tool to rate and score any five-player lineup. But that doesn’t quite get you where you want to go. You need to take in the players on the Cleveland roster and spit out a ranking of lineups. You need to get a feel for the best player and the best two-man, three-man, or four-man groupings to fit into your game plans.
You need Model 284’s Lineup Optimizer Tool.
Continue reading NBA Lineup Optimizer Instructional
Put in a list of NBA players, and this tool will give you a sortable, scored list of all possible lineups. Also, take a look at which individual players, pairs, threesomes, and foursomes appear the most in the top 20. For a longer explainer, look here.
Continue reading Lineup Optimizer Tool