Below is our Model 284 consensus bracket for the 2022 NCAA Tournament. As you will see from our Game-by-Game Predictions and Tournament Simulation results, our bracket does not necessarily advance our model’s predicted winner for every single game. Rather, we use a combination of (1) our model’s individual game predictions, (2) our tournament simulation results, (3) injuries / other factors not captured by our models, and (4) consideration of public picks – to make sure we are differentiating our bracket enough from the most popular choices. For those interested, here is a bracket filled out purely using raw model output.
Link to Bracket (Larger Image)
Stay tuned to Model 284 throughout the tournament for updated predictions on every game!
Historical Bracket Accuracy
Below is a summary of how our published brackets have performed in previous tournaments (2017-present). We have been utilizing these models dating back to the 2014 tournament, but do not have older predictions documented on the site.