Throughout the playoffs, Model 284 is making predictions using our PML model. You can find a brief overview of the model here and a full methodology here.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros

This year’s World Series features a matchup of two high-powered offenses and two star-studded starting rotations. Our model gives the Astros a 56% chance to win it all. See our game-by-game predictions below (pitching matchups projected where not confirmed.)

UPDATE 10/25: After their 3-1 victory on Tuesday night, Los Angeles has a 56% chance of winning the World Series.

UPDATE 10/26: After their 7-6 victory on Wednesday night, Houston has a 59% chance of winning the World Series.

UPDATE 10/28: After their 5-3 victory on Friday night, Houston has a 71% chance of winning the World Series.

UPDATE 10/29: After their 2-6 loss on Saturday night, Houston has a 53% chance of winning the World Series.

UPDATE 10/30: After the Astros’ 13-12 win on Sunday night, Houston has an 81% chance of winning it all, and I have a 91% chance of falling asleep at my desk on Monday.

UPDATE 11/1: After losing 1-3 to the Dodgers on Sunday night, the Astros have a 54% chance of winning the World Series tonight.

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

Game 5

Game 6

Game 7