Category Archives: Football

Team Defense Projections – Week 10

Fantasy Football, Football

Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 10 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections – Week 10 →

Man vs Model – Week 9

Football

Well here we are again. After an 0-3 week two weeks ago, I bounced back against the model and took week 8 2-1. Unfortunately I also lost all of my additional picks to put me at 2-4 on the week. Not the best showing from me the last couple of weeks and I’m getting desperate as we head towards the second half of the season. As I’m writing this reports are coming out that Deshaun Watson has torn his ACL and is out for the season. Now the model has already given it’s picks and a lesser man might jump on this opportunity to bet against the Texans in relation to the lines the model was working with before the injury, but I’m not going to do that. Too much integrity. As a sign of good faith and respect for my competition I will NOT be betting on the Houston game this week.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 9 →

Team Defense Projections – Week 9

Football

Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 9 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections – Week 9 →

Man vs Model – Week 8

Football

Okay, so not the best showing from me last week. In fact, that was easily my worst performance of the year. 0-5-1 with my best effort a push in the Dolphins-Jets game. I’d say the model got lucky but I’m a more gracious loser than that. Besides, I think the model needed a little confidence boost after I took its’ lunch money and shoved it into a locker during Week 7. So congrats to the model. Good week. Not gonna happen again. Let’s cook.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 8 →