It is Thanksgiving Week and if you think there is a better week in the calendar year you are just flat out wrong. Thanksgiving is the best holiday there is and I’ll hear nothing else about it. All of the good parts of Christmas (food, family, football) without any of the stress. Just a really, really nice day. Nothing better than that. We also get to watch the 8-2 Vikings play on Thanksgiving this year which is just the cherry on top to an already perfect day.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 12
Category Archives: Football
Team Defense Projections – Week 12
Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 12 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections – Week 12
NFL Predictions – Week 12
The article below gives our models’ predictions for Week 12 matchups of the 2017 NFL season.
Continue reading NFL Predictions – Week 12
Friday Fantasy Preview – Week 11
Here we go again, with the Week 11 edition of the Model 284 Friday Fantasy Preview. If you are looking for a blend of numbers and subjectivity to help guide your lineup, then this is the right place for you.
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Man vs Model – Week 11
Another tough week for the man fighting the good fight against the machine. 1-2 against the model and 2-4 overall. Still have a two-game lead over the model going into Week 11 but if I’m being honest, I’m running out of steam. Feels like I’m just going through the motions out here. Each week I open up the same goddamn sports book, look at the same goddamn teams, and right pretty much the same goddamn bullshit. I’ve officially reached my mid-season blues. Unfortunately, there is no such thing as a bye week for a blogger/podcaster/division 3 play-by-play broadcaster so I have no choice but to plunge right back into the shit and try to work my way through this funk.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 11
QB Fantasy Projections – Week 11
Below are our projected fantasy points for starting Quarterbacks in Week 11 of 2017.
Team Defense Projections – Week 11
Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 11 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections – Week 11
NFL Predictions – Week 11
The article below gives our models’ predictions for Week 11 matchups of the 2017 NFL season.
Continue reading NFL Predictions – Week 11
Friday Fantasy Preview – Week 10
Here we go again, with the Week 10 edition of the Model 284 Friday Fantasy Preview. If you are looking for a blend of numbers and subjectivity to help guide your lineup, then this is the right place for you.
Man vs Model – Week 10
We had an interesting week last week with two pushes in the additional picks section to put me at 2-1 against the model and 2-2-2 overall for the week. The Redskins finally pulled through for me so I’ll probably bet on them about 9 more times this season. I feel like the strategy of betting on overs for games that on the surface seem like they have zero business going over has been working out for me, but I have no statistical data to back that up and I’m not going to go out of my way to find it. I’m just gonna keep trusting the gut and shooting from the hip.
Continue reading Man vs Model – Week 10