In most sports and at most skill levels, if you are unpredictable in your movements and actions you will have a better chance at being successful; you’ll have a better chance of beating your defender if he doesn’t know what you’re going to do. Granted, at the end of the day, high-performance level always wins out, but one can give themselves a better chance of winning a battle by being unpredictable or diverse.
NBA Lineup Evaluator: Diversity (2016-2017)
Below is a table of our NBA Lineup Diversity metric applied to all NBA Lineups that played more than 50 minutes together in the 2016-2017 season. Our NBA Lineup Diversity metric attempts to measure the diversity of play types a lineup will run. For complete Methodology, see here.
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NFL Predictions – Week 17
The article below gives our models’ predictions for Week 17 matchups of the 2017 NFL season.
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Components Methodology: NBA Lineup Evaluator
This article details the methodology and calculations of the components found on our NBA Lineup Evaluator. Each component represents a different skill or ability an NBA lineup could have. We can use these to asses strengths and weaknesses of NBA lineups that have yet to play together, or that haven’t played enough minutes to accurately evaluate their performance. Data is trained from NBA Lineups from 2015-2017 that played at least 50 minutes together. All data comes from either NBA.com or Basketball-Reference.com.
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NBA Lineup Evaluator Tool
The NBA Lineup Evaluator tool provides lineup estimates for various metrics we’ve developed to assist in analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of a lineup. Enter any combination of players below. For more information on the lineup components, check out the methodology article.
Friday Fantasy Preview – Week 16
Merry playoffs, and a happy championship week. Welcome to the Week 16 edition of the Model 284 Friday Fantasy Preview. If you are looking for a blend of numbers and subjectivity to help guide your lineup, then this is the right place for you.
DraftKings Contest – NFL Week 16
Use the link below to join our Week 16 DraftKings contest. $10 entry, winner take all, lineups lock Sunday at 12 PM CT https://deeplink.me/
Team Defense Projections – Week 16
Below are our projected Team Defensive Fantasy Points (based on ESPN Standard Scoring) for Week 16 of the 2017 NFL Season. These projections are from a model that takes into account a number of variables including team and player offensive and defensive metrics, situational factors in the game (such as, indoors or outdoors, divisional game, days of rest, and more), and lastly overall team rating measured by statistics such as our Elo Ratings. Continue reading Team Defense Projections – Week 16
Hammer The Over FF Playoffs and Origins of Christmas
CEO Sam Walczak fills in for Tom as the guys celebrate the Vikings NFC North division title and the downfall of the Packers and Aaron Rodgers. Model contributor Owen Goodwalt joins the pod to talk fantastic football playoffs. Segments include unwritten rules of Christmas gifts, 5 minutes of research on the origin of Christmas Day, and the overs of the week.
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QB Fantasy Projections – Week 16
Below are our projected fantasy points for starting Quarterbacks in Week 16 of 2017.